Morgan Stanley sees Russian e-commerce grow nearly 3-fold by 2023

According to a Morgan Stanley report launched last month, the Russian e-commerce market for physical goods will grow to $31bn by 2020 and may reach $52bn by 2023– up from around $18bn (1,040 bn rubles) in 2017, reports East-West Digital News(

EWDN).”Russia is the last major emerging market without a dominant online seller. Russia is at an inflection point,” think the Morgan Stanley analysts, who wager on the emergence of “a leader deserving $10bn” by 2020.

The report highlights the high penetration rates of the Web (80%) and smart devices (66%) in Russia, on the other hand with a simple 3% e-commerce share in total retail.Besides,”there

is a clear link in between the variety of years spent online and the willingness to negotiate online,”note the analysts, who”believe Russia [is] reaching a crucial mass of ‘fully grown’ Web users, which is driving an increase in the number of deals online as users end up being more familiar with them.”

The report sees other development drivers in the supply side. E-commerce jobs have gotten significant funding over the previous years from both personal and public backers, and the pattern must continue.

“More funding must enable for more scale, helping retailers to drive down key discomfort points (such as fulfilment costs), and to improve delivery times resulting in a much better overall client proposition,” Morgan Stanley believes.The Russian e-commerce market could develop according to a Chinese circumstance. “Similar to in China, we think the following is needed for an e-commerce market leader in Russia to grow: 1) develop a market model, 2) buy logistics, and 3) supply monetary support for merchants,” compose the authors.

“While in China, merchants are moving from a marketplace design (which brings together 3rd celebration sellers) to holding inventory straight (1st celebration), our company believe Russia will progress from a first celebration design into a pure market, or at least a market that controls more of the logistics channel.”

Thus, “there is scope for collaborations in Russia with domestic offline sellers due to the infrastructure obstacles, although it remains unclear how feasible these are. Therefore cannibalisation stays a key threat for offline sellers,” Morgan Stanley concludes.The report justly underlines the increase of two gamers intending for management, Yandex and Mail.Ru Group. The previous has teamed up with Sberbank to produce a< a href= "http://pro.intellinews.com/russia-s-sberbank-and-yandex-launch-first-online-shop-on-yandex-market-platform-142120/?source=russia"> substantial e-commerce platform called Yandex.Market, as reported in 2015 by East-West Digital News. Dubbed ‘Beru’and currently in its beta variation, this marketplace draws a few of its motivation from the Amazon model.Sberbank, the country’s leading banks, is dedicated to invest as much as$ 500mn in the joint venture.Sberbank’s big client base (70 %of the Russian population ), its 14,000 branches throughout the country,

as well as Yandex.Market’s audience( 20mn Web users and 11mn mobile app users daily, respectively )are strong assets for the job to succeed.The Morgan Stanley experts even see in Yandex.Taxi’s 400mn motorists(following the merger with Uber Russia)as many potential e-commerce delivery

representatives.

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